Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.286065 0.328053 0.373102 0.424916 0.482748 0.545191 0.617591
2025-12-07 0.213274 0.268983 0.333554 0.413446 0.509119 0.619471 0.755805
2025-12-14 0.166374 0.229643 0.308465 0.412707 0.545622 0.708009 0.919804
2025-12-21 0.128440 0.193626 0.280691 0.403290 0.568920 0.782076 1.073797
2025-12-28 0.107565 0.175793 0.272829 0.417267 0.622437 0.898442 1.291749
2026-01-04 0.091112 0.160802 0.265947 0.430672 0.675542 1.018236 1.524256
2026-01-11 0.075465 0.143757 0.252933 0.432618 0.711482 1.116437 1.734348
2026-01-18 0.062715 0.128712 0.240274 0.432661 0.743475 1.210434 1.944569
2026-01-25 0.052168 0.115215 0.227724 0.430601 0.771003 1.298848 2.151867
2026-02-01 0.043815 0.103940 0.216984 0.429631 0.799274 1.389467 2.367587
2026-02-08 0.037023 0.094217 0.207333 0.428887 0.827077 1.480429 2.588759
2026-02-15 0.031002 0.084710 0.196447 0.424192 0.847019 1.559273 2.794751
2026-02-22 0.027117 0.079182 0.192674 0.432526 0.891017 1.681633 3.080304
2026-03-01 0.022705 0.071321 0.182802 0.427724 0.910602 1.763967 3.304935
2026-03-08 0.019630 0.066028 0.177529 0.431319 0.945827 1.875279 3.584493
2026-03-15 0.016347 0.059267 0.167773 0.424251 0.959741 1.949581 3.804642
2026-03-22 0.014898 0.057327 0.168944 0.440610 1.020757 2.112064 4.186791
2026-03-29 0.013545 0.055313 0.169591 0.455797 1.080507 2.275583 4.578962
2026-04-05 0.011786 0.051496 0.165037 0.458566 1.114862 2.393666 4.895453
2026-04-12 0.010184 0.047690 0.159824 0.459069 1.144297 2.503876 5.202809
2026-04-19 0.008728 0.043903 0.153958 0.457191 1.168266 2.604657 5.497385
2026-04-26 0.007516 0.040591 0.148804 0.456351 1.194234 2.710527 5.806204
2026-05-03 0.006479 0.037590 0.143979 0.455682 1.220349 2.817887 6.122564